Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT · Bernabeu (retractable roof) · neutral site
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 5.5-point favourite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at -230 for Cincinnati Bengals and +190 for Atlanta Falcons, a devigged 33% win probability for Atlanta Falcons; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 27.5 for Cincinnati Bengals and 22 for Atlanta Falcons.
The spread has moved from 4 to 5.5 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 248 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards; Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 240 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 86 rushing yards and 36 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT, at the neutral site Neutral, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -5.5 (open +4) |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (CIN / ATL) | -230 / +190 |
| ATL implied win probability | 33% |
| Implied team totals (CIN — ATL) | 27.5 — 22.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.