Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Paycor Stadium
The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 3.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +164 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -198 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 64% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 25.5 for Cincinnati Bengals.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 201 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 229 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Paycor Stadium, Pittsburgh Steelers take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -3.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (PIT / CIN) | +164 / -198 |
| CIN implied win probability | 64% |
| Implied team totals (PIT — CIN) | 22.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.