Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Monday, November 16, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 3.5-point favourite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +150 for Los Angeles Chargers and -180 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 62% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Los Angeles Chargers and 25.5 for Baltimore Ravens.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 204 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 229 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 96 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Monday, November 16, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Ravens take the extra rest, 11 days to 8.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Chargers at Ravens — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -3.5
Total47.5
Moneyline (LAC / BAL)+150 / -180
BAL implied win probability62%
Implied team totals (LAC — BAL)22.0 — 25.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Los Angeles Chargers · 22.8 proj pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 204 pass yds · 21 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 63 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 47 rec yds · 4.0 rec
Baltimore Ravens · 25.3 proj pts
Lamar Jackson (QB) — 229 pass yds · 32 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 96 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 1 rush yds · 73 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule