Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Monday, November 16, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · M&T Bank Stadium

Prediction: Ravens 22, Chargers 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Baltimore Ravens a 66% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Free: prime time

Every angle of Chargers @ Ravens, on one screen.

Chargers17.0win 34%
Market-implied score
Ravens21.5win 66%
SpreadBAL -4.5
Total38.5
Moneyline+181 / -220
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →Prime time · open to everyone

Chargers vs Ravens prediction

The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 4.5-point favorite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 38.5.

Moneylines sit at +181 for Los Angeles Chargers and -220 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 66% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17 for Los Angeles Chargers and 21.5 for Baltimore Ravens.

The spread has moved from BAL -3.5 to BAL -4.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 203 passing yards and 22 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 50 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Joe Fagnano (QB) at 186 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 90 rushing yards and 8 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Monday, November 16, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore Ravens take the extra rest, 11 days to 8.

From the blog: NFL Week 10 Preview: Who's Hot, Who's Fading and Where I'm Leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Chargers at Ravens — lines as of Tue, 11/10 · 9:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBAL -4.5 (open BAL -3.5)
Total38.5
Moneyline (LAC / BAL)+181 / -220
BAL implied win probability66%
Implied team totals (LAC — BAL)17.0 — 21.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chargers and Ravens this season

Games before Week 10. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Los Angeles Chargers0-80-7-12-615.127.48
Baltimore Ravens4-52-75-421.026.211

Chargers' last 3 games: L 22-44 vs HOU · L 9-24 @ LA · L 6-22 @ KC.

Ravens' last 3 games: L 10-33 vs JAX · L 10-36 @ BUF · L 13-35 vs CIN.

Player projections

Los Angeles Chargers · 17.0 market-implied pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 203 pass yds · 22 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 50 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 39 rec yds · 3.4 rec
Baltimore Ravens · 21.5 market-implied pts
Joe Fagnano (QB) — 186 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Derrick Henry (RB) — 90 rush yds · 8 rec yds
Zay Flowers (WR) — 4 rush yds · 64 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chargers @ Ravens, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chargers @ Ravens matchup →

Kickoff forecast: 48°F, wind 4 mph from the N, 3% chance of precipitation. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule

Chargers 2026 schedule

Ravens 2026 schedule