San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)

Game preview

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 1.5-point favourite over San Francisco 49ers, with the game total at 52.5.

Moneylines sit at +100 for San Francisco 49ers and -120 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 52% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25.5 for San Francisco 49ers and 27 for Dallas Cowboys.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 244 passing yards and 18 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 36 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 234 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for 49ers at Cowboys — lines as of Thu, 9/10 · 7:01 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -1.5
Total52.5
Moneyline (SF / DAL)+100 / -120
DAL implied win probability52%
Implied team totals (SF — DAL)25.5 — 27.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

San Francisco 49ers · 25.9 proj pts
Brock Purdy (QB) — 244 pass yds · 18 rush yds
Christian McCaffrey (RB) — 47 rush yds · 36 rec yds
Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR) — 5 rush yds · 44 rec yds
Dallas Cowboys · 27.1 proj pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 234 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 55 rush yds · 19 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 3 rush yds · 68 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule