Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · AT&T Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 4-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 51.5.
Moneylines sit at +177 for Washington Commanders and -215 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 65% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.8 for Washington Commanders and 27.8 for Dallas Cowboys.
The spread has moved from -3.5 to -4 since it opened and the total has moved from 50.5 to 51.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 219 passing yards and 34 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 241 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.
Final: Dallas Cowboys won 37-20 (home, over).
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ATS: home. Total: over.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DAL -4 (open -3.5) |
| Total | 51.5 (open 50.5) |
| Moneyline (WAS / DAL) | +177 / -215 |
| DAL implied win probability | 65% |
| Implied team totals (WAS — DAL) | 23.8 — 27.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.