Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 4.5-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at +180 for Minnesota Vikings and -219 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 66% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21 for Minnesota Vikings and 25.5 for Chicago Bears.
The spread has moved from -3 to -4.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 45.5 to 46.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 216 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 210 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 58 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Soldier Field.
Final: Minnesota Vikings won 9-3 (away, under).
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ATS: away. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -4.5 (open -3) |
| Total | 46.5 (open 45.5) |
| Moneyline (MIN / CHI) | +180 / -219 |
| CHI implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (MIN — CHI) | 21.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.