Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 1.5-point favourite over New England Patriots, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +102 for New England Patriots and -122 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 53% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for New England Patriots and 24.5 for Chicago Bears.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 226 passing yards and 29 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 216 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at Soldier Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -1.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (NE / CHI) | +102 / -122 |
| CHI implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (NE — CHI) | 23.0 — 24.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.