New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 3 2026

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · EverBank Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Patriots6market had 21.8
Final
Jaguars35market had 24.8
SpreadJAX -3
Total46.5
Moneyline+135 / -160
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 3-point favorite over New England Patriots, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at +135 for New England Patriots and -160 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 59% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.8 for New England Patriots and 24.8 for Jacksonville Jaguars.

The spread has moved from JAX -2.5 to JAX -3 since it opened and the total has moved from 46 to 46.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 221 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, TreVeyon Henderson (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 200 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at EverBank Stadium.

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars won 35-6; Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread (JAX -3) and the game went under the 46.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

NE 6 — JAX 35

Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread (JAX -3) and the game went under the 46.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Patriots at Jaguars — lines as of Sun, 9/27 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -3 (open JAX -2.5)
Total46.5 (open 46)
Moneyline (NE / JAX)+135 / -160
JAX implied win probability59%
Implied team totals (NE — JAX)21.8 — 24.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Patriots and Jaguars this season

Games before Week 3. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
New England Patriots1-11-0-10-215.08.07
Jacksonville Jaguars1-11-11-123.515.07

Patriots' last 2 games: W 20-3 vs PIT · L 10-13 @ SEA.

Jaguars' last 2 games: L 13-20 @ DEN · W 34-10 vs CLE.

Pre-game injury report

New England Patriots

Inactive: Behren Morton (QB), Eli Raridon (TE), Craig Woodson (S), Dre'Mont Jones (DE), Leonard Taylor III (DT).

Jacksonville Jaguars

Inactive: CJ Williams (WR), Albert Regis (DT), Daniel Faalele (G), Jack Kiser (LB), Wesley Williams (DE).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/27 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

New England Patriots · 21.8 market-implied pts
Drake Maye (QB) — 221 pass yds · 28 rush yds
TreVeyon Henderson (RB) — 55 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) — 33 rush yds · 24 rec yds
Jacksonville Jaguars · 24.8 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 200 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 59 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 53 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Patriots @ Jaguars, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Patriots @ Jaguars matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule

Patriots 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule