Monday, December 14, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · EverBank Stadium
The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 3-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 44.5.
Moneylines sit at +136 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -162 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 59% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.8 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 23.8 for Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 182 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 199 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Monday, December 14, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at EverBank Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | JAX -3 |
| Total | 44.5 |
| Moneyline (PIT / JAX) | +136 / -162 |
| JAX implied win probability | 59% |
| Implied team totals (PIT — JAX) | 20.8 — 23.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.