Pittsburgh Steelers @ Jacksonville Jaguars — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 14 2026

Monday, December 14, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · EverBank Stadium

Prediction: Jaguars 24, Steelers 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Jacksonville Jaguars a 59% chance to win. · Updated

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Steelers20.8win 41%
Market-implied score
Jaguars23.8win 59%
SpreadJAX -3
Total44.5
Moneyline+136 / -162
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Steelers vs Jaguars prediction

The market makes Jacksonville Jaguars a 3-point favorite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at +136 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -162 for Jacksonville Jaguars, a devigged 59% win probability for Jacksonville Jaguars; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.8 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 23.8 for Jacksonville Jaguars.

The total has moved from 44 to 44.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 175 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 232 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Monday, December 14, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at EverBank Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Steelers at Jaguars — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadJAX -3 (open JAX -3.25)
Total44.5 (open 44)
Moneyline (PIT / JAX)+136 / -162
JAX implied win probability59%
Implied team totals (PIT — JAX)20.8 — 23.8

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Steelers and Jaguars this season

Games before Week 14. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Pittsburgh Steelers6-26-24-422.518.08
Jacksonville Jaguars6-25-34-428.615.18

Steelers' last 3 games: W 27-6 vs CLE · W 16-10 @ NO · W 26-19 @ TB.

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 33-10 @ BAL · W 42-7 vs IND · L 31-34 vs HOU.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 20.8 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 175 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 62 rush yds · 19 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 1 rush yds · 46 rec yds
Jacksonville Jaguars · 23.8 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 232 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 62 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 56 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Steelers @ Jaguars, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 14 games

← Week 13 · Week 15 → · Full 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule