Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Lambeau Field
The market makes Green Bay Packers a 1.5-point favourite over Buffalo Bills, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Buffalo Bills and -125 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 53% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Buffalo Bills and 25.5 for Green Bay Packers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 243 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 75 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 244 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 69 receiving yards and 5 catches.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Lambeau Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | GB -1.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (BUF / GB) | +105 / -125 |
| GB implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (BUF — GB) | 24.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.