Buffalo Bills @ Green Bay Packers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 14 2026

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Prediction: Packers 26, Bills 24 (market-implied). The market gives the Green Bay Packers a 53% chance to win. · Updated

The full matchup dashboard

Free: prime time

Every angle of Bills @ Packers, on one screen.

Bills24.0win 47%
Market-implied score
Packers25.5win 53%
SpreadGB -1.5
Total49.5
Moneyline+105 / -125
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →Prime time · open to everyone

Bills vs Packers prediction

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 1.5-point favorite over Buffalo Bills, with the game total at 49.5.

Moneylines sit at +105 for Buffalo Bills and -125 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 53% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Buffalo Bills and 25.5 for Green Bay Packers.

The total has moved from 50 to 49.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 251 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 85 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 247 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Josh Jacobs (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET, at Lambeau Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Bills at Packers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -1.5
Total49.5 (open 50)
Moneyline (BUF / GB)+105 / -125
GB implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (BUF — GB)24.0 — 25.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Bills and Packers this season

Games before Week 14. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Buffalo Bills7-16-25-332.023.47
Green Bay Packers6-36-2-13-624.021.27

Bills' last 3 games: W 23-6 @ MIN · W 36-10 vs BAL · W 33-30 @ LV.

Packers' last 3 games: W 45-27 @ NE · W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET.

Player projections

Buffalo Bills · 24.0 market-implied pts
Josh Allen (QB) — 251 pass yds · 31 rush yds
James Cook (RB) — 85 rush yds · 16 rec yds
DJ Moore (WR) — 3 rush yds · 53 rec yds
Green Bay Packers · 25.5 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 247 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Josh Jacobs (RB) — 46 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 68 rec yds · 5.1 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bills @ Packers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bills @ Packers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 14 games

← Week 13 · Week 15 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bills 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule