Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Hard Rock Stadium
The market makes Chicago Bears a 5.5-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at -250 for Chicago Bears and +205 for Miami Dolphins, a devigged 31% win probability for Miami Dolphins; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26 for Chicago Bears and 20.5 for Miami Dolphins.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 230 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards; Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 221 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 74 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Hard Rock Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -5.5 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Moneyline (CHI / MIA) | -250 / +205 |
| MIA implied win probability | 31% |
| Implied team totals (CHI — MIA) | 26.0 — 20.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.