Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes New York Jets a 2.5-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 41.5.
Moneylines sit at +120 for Miami Dolphins and -142 for New York Jets, a devigged 56% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for Miami Dolphins and 22 for New York Jets.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 214 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 67 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 209 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium, Miami Dolphins take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NYJ -2.5 |
| Total | 41.5 |
| Moneyline (MIA / NYJ) | +120 / -142 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 56% |
| Implied team totals (MIA — NYJ) | 19.5 — 22.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.