Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
The market makes Kansas City Chiefs a 9.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 41.5.
Moneylines sit at +310 for New York Jets and -395 for Kansas City Chiefs, a devigged 77% win probability for Kansas City Chiefs; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16 for New York Jets and 25.5 for Kansas City Chiefs.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 198 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Kansas City Chiefs — Patrick Mahomes (QB) at 232 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Kenneth Walker III (RB) at 74 rushing yards and 34 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | KC -9.5 |
| Total | 41.5 |
| Moneyline (NYJ / KC) | +310 / -395 |
| KC implied win probability | 77% |
| Implied team totals (NYJ — KC) | 16.0 — 25.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.