Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes Denver Broncos a 5.5-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 39.5.
Moneylines sit at -230 for Denver Broncos and +190 for New York Jets, a devigged 33% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Denver Broncos and 17 for New York Jets.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 199 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 6 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 192 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium, New York Jets take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DEN -5.5 |
| Total | 39.5 |
| Moneyline (DEN / NYJ) | -230 / +190 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 33% |
| Implied team totals (DEN — NYJ) | 22.5 — 17.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.