Denver Broncos @ New York Jets — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 14 2026

Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium

Prediction: Broncos 23, Jets 17 (market-implied). The market gives the Denver Broncos a 67% chance to win. · Updated

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Broncos22.5win 67%
Market-implied score
Jets17.0win 33%
SpreadDEN -5.5
Total39.5
Moneyline-230 / +190
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Broncos vs Jets prediction

The market makes Denver Broncos a 5.5-point favorite over New York Jets, with the game total at 39.5.

Moneylines sit at -230 for Denver Broncos and +190 for New York Jets, a devigged 33% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Denver Broncos and 17 for New York Jets.

The spread has moved from DEN -5 to DEN -5.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 202 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Jonah Coleman (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 202 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium, New York Jets take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Broncos at Jets — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -5.5 (open DEN -5)
Total39.5
Moneyline (DEN / NYJ)-230 / +190
NYJ implied win probability33%
Implied team totals (DEN — NYJ)22.5 — 17.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Broncos and Jets this season

Games before Week 14. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Denver Broncos7-27-24-522.020.77
New York Jets2-73-4-24-520.224.814

Broncos' last 3 games: W 26-21 @ CAR · W 28-24 vs KC · W 30-16 @ ARI.

Jets' last 3 games: L 12-35 @ KC · L 33-38 vs LV · L 25-28 vs MIA.

Player projections

Denver Broncos · 22.5 market-implied pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 202 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Jonah Coleman (RB) — 46 rush yds · 19 rec yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 40 rush yds · 7 rec yds
New York Jets · 17.0 market-implied pts
Geno Smith (QB) — 202 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Breece Hall (RB) — 54 rush yds · 18 rec yds
Braelon Allen (RB) — 47 rush yds · 12 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Broncos @ Jets, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 14 games

← Week 13 · Week 15 → · Full 2026 schedule

Broncos 2026 schedule

Jets 2026 schedule