Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 5 2026

Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium (indoors)

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Broncos23market had 22.8
Final
Chargers17market had 19.3
SpreadDEN -3.5
Total42
Moneyline-186 / +155
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes Denver Broncos a 3.5-point favorite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 42.

Moneylines sit at -186 for Denver Broncos and +155 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 37% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.8 for Denver Broncos and 19.3 for Los Angeles Chargers.

The total has moved from 42.5 to 42.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 204 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 207 passing yards and 22 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.

Final: Denver Broncos won 23-17; Denver Broncos covered the spread (DEN -3.5) and the game went under the 42 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 5 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

DEN 23 — LAC 17

Denver Broncos covered the spread (DEN -3.5) and the game went under the 42 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Broncos at Chargers — lines as of Sun, 10/11 · 4:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -3.5
Total42 (open 42.5)
Moneyline (DEN / LAC)-186 / +155
LAC implied win probability37%
Implied team totals (DEN — LAC)22.8 — 19.3

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Broncos and Chargers this season

Games before Week 5. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Denver Broncos2-22-21-318.523.57
Los Angeles Chargers0-40-3-11-316.826.57

Broncos' last 3 games: L 14-24 @ SF · W 30-26 vs LA · W 20-13 vs JAX.

Chargers' last 3 games: L 23-30 @ SEA · L 16-24 @ BUF · L 14-26 vs LV.

Pre-game injury report

Denver Broncos

Inactive: Sam Ehlinger (QB), Jordan Jackson (DT), Pat Surtain II (CB), Riley Moss (CB), Tyler Onyedim (DT).

Los Angeles Chargers

Inactive: Brenen Thompson (WR), Quentin Johnston (WR), Derwin James Jr. (S), Donte Jackson (CB), Joe Alt (T), Kayode Awosika (G).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/11 · 3:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Denver Broncos · 22.8 market-implied pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 204 pass yds · 16 rush yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 63 rush yds · 9 rec yds
Jaylen Waddle (WR) — 1 rush yds · 55 rec yds
Los Angeles Chargers · 19.3 market-implied pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 207 pass yds · 22 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 49 rush yds · 21 rec yds
Keaton Mitchell (RB) — 42 rush yds · 16 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Broncos @ Chargers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Broncos @ Chargers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 5 games

← Week 4 · Week 6 → · Full 2026 schedule

Broncos 2026 schedule

Chargers 2026 schedule