Los Angeles Chargers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 13 2026

Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Prediction: Chargers 25, Buccaneers 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Chargers a 55% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Chargers @ Buccaneers, on one screen.

Chargers24.5win 55%
Market-implied score
Buccaneers22.0win 45%
SpreadLAC -2.5
Total46.5
Moneyline-135 / +114
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Chargers vs Buccaneers prediction

The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 2.5-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -135 for Los Angeles Chargers and +114 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 45% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Los Angeles Chargers and 22 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The spread has moved from LAC -2 to LAC -2.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 230 passing yards and 23 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 14 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 193 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 86 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Raymond James Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Chargers at Buccaneers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLAC -2.5 (open LAC -2)
Total46.5
Moneyline (LAC / TB)-135 / +114
TB implied win probability45%
Implied team totals (LAC — TB)24.5 — 22.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Chargers and Buccaneers this season

Games before Week 13. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Los Angeles Chargers0-80-7-12-615.127.47
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-64-55-422.419.86

Chargers' last 3 games: L 22-44 vs HOU · L 9-24 @ LA · L 6-22 @ KC.

Buccaneers' last 3 games: L 24-27 @ CHI · W 16-0 vs ATL · W 43-13 @ CAR.

Player projections

Los Angeles Chargers · 24.5 market-implied pts
Justin Herbert (QB) — 230 pass yds · 23 rush yds
Omarion Hampton (RB) — 49 rush yds · 14 rec yds
Ladd McConkey (WR) — 45 rec yds · 3.6 rec
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 22.0 market-implied pts
Baker Mayfield (QB) — 193 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 86 rush yds · 16 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 2 rush yds · 55 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Chargers @ Buccaneers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Chargers @ Buccaneers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 13 games

← Week 12 · Week 14 → · Full 2026 schedule

Chargers 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule