Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Raymond James Stadium
The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 2.5-point favourite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at -135 for Los Angeles Chargers and +114 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 45% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.5 for Los Angeles Chargers and 22 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 215 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 65 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 223 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Raymond James Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LAC -2.5 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Moneyline (LAC / TB) | -135 / +114 |
| TB implied win probability | 45% |
| Implied team totals (LAC — TB) | 24.5 — 22.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.