Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium
The market makes Houston Texans a 1.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 41.5.
Moneylines sit at -122 for Houston Texans and +102 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 47% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.5 for Houston Texans and 20 for Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 250 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 76 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 184 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 6, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh Steelers take the extra rest, 9 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -1.5 |
| Total | 41.5 |
| Moneyline (HOU / PIT) | -122 / +102 |
| PIT implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — PIT) | 21.5 — 20.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.