Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026
Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET · Huntington Bank Field
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- The market-implied score next to the spread and total
- Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
- What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
- Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Game preview
The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 3-point favorite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 38.
Moneylines sit at -155 for Pittsburgh Steelers and +131 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 42% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 17.5 for Cleveland Browns.
The spread has moved from PIT -2.5 to PIT -3 since it opened and the total has moved from 37.5 to 38.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 172 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 81 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 190 passing yards and 30 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 8:15 PM ET, at Huntington Bank Field.
Final: Cleveland Browns won 27-24; Cleveland Browns covered the spread (PIT -3) and the game went over the 38 total.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
Final
Cleveland Browns covered the spread (PIT -3) and the game went over the 38 total.
Consensus market (closing lines)
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | PIT -3 (open PIT -2.5) |
| Total | 38 (open 37.5) |
| Moneyline (PIT / CLE) | -155 / +131 |
| CLE implied win probability | 42% |
| Implied team totals (PIT — CLE) | 20.5 — 17.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Steelers and Browns this season
| Team | Record | Against the spread | Over/under | Points for | Points against | Days of rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 17.7 | 20.0 | 4 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 18.0 | 23.7 | 4 |
Steelers' last 3 games: W 30-27 vs CIN · L 3-20 @ NE · W 20-13 vs ATL.
Browns' last 3 games: W 21-18 vs CAR · W 23-19 @ TB · L 10-34 @ JAX.
Pre-game injury report
Pittsburgh Steelers
Inactive: Rico Dowdle (RB).
Cleveland Browns
Inactive: Taylen Green (QB), Tylan Wallace (WR), Elgton Jenkins (C), Justin Jefferson (LB), Teven Jenkins (G).
Gameday inactives as of Thu, 10/1 · 7:20 PM ET.
Player projections
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.
More Week 4 games
- Colts @ Commanders · Sun, 10/4 · 9:30 AM ET
- Rams @ Eagles · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Titans @ Ravens · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Jaguars @ Bengals · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Cowboys @ Texans · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Patriots @ Bills · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Packers @ Buccaneers · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Jets @ Bears · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Cardinals @ Giants · Sun, 10/4 · 1:00 PM ET
- Dolphins @ Vikings · Sun, 10/4 · 4:05 PM ET
- Chiefs @ Raiders · Sun, 10/4 · 4:25 PM ET
- Chargers @ Seahawks · Sun, 10/4 · 4:25 PM ET
- Broncos @ 49ers · Sun, 10/4 · 4:25 PM ET
- Lions @ Panthers · Sun, 10/4 · 8:20 PM ET
- Falcons @ Saints · Mon, 10/5 · 8:15 PM ET
Steelers 2026 schedule
- W1Falcons @ Steelers · W 20-13
- W2Steelers @ Patriots · L 3-20
- W3Bengals @ Steelers · W 30-27
- W5Colts @ Steelers · W 34-22
- W6Steelers @ Buccaneers · W 26-19
- W7Steelers @ Saints · W 16-10
- W8Browns @ Steelers · W 27-6
- W10Steelers @ Bengals · Sun 11/15
- W11Steelers @ Eagles · Sun 11/22
- W12Broncos @ Steelers · Fri 11/27
- W13Texans @ Steelers · Sun 12/6
- W14Steelers @ Jaguars · Mon 12/14
- W15Ravens @ Steelers · Sun 12/20
- W16Panthers @ Steelers · Sun 12/27
- W17Steelers @ Titans · Sun 1/3
- W18Steelers @ Ravens · Sun 1/10
Browns 2026 schedule
- W1Browns @ Jaguars · L 10-34
- W2Browns @ Buccaneers · W 23-19
- W3Panthers @ Browns · W 21-18
- W5Browns @ Jets · L 12-17
- W6Ravens @ Browns · W 13-10
- W7Browns @ Titans · W 27-24
- W8Browns @ Steelers · L 6-27
- W9Browns @ Saints · L 22-23
- W10Texans @ Browns · Sun 11/15
- W12Raiders @ Browns · Sun 11/29
- W13Bengals @ Browns · Sun 12/6
- W14Falcons @ Browns · Sun 12/13
- W15Browns @ Giants · Sun 12/20
- W16Browns @ Ravens · Sun 12/27
- W17Colts @ Browns · Sun 1/3
- W18Browns @ Bengals · Sun 1/10