Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · Huntington Bank Field
The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 2.5-point favourite over Cleveland Browns, with the game total at 37.5.
Moneylines sit at -143 for Pittsburgh Steelers and +118 for Cleveland Browns, a devigged 44% win probability for Cleveland Browns; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 17.5 for Cleveland Browns.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 172 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 52 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards; Cleveland Browns — Deshaun Watson (QB) at 185 passing yards and 26 rushing yards, Quinshon Judkins (RB) at 50 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at Huntington Bank Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | PIT -2.5 |
| Total | 37.5 (open 37.75) |
| Moneyline (PIT / CLE) | -143 / +118 |
| CLE implied win probability | 44% |
| Implied team totals (PIT — CLE) | 20.0 — 17.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.