Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium
The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 6.5-point favourite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 40.5.
Moneylines sit at +243 for Atlanta Falcons and -296 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 72% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17 for Atlanta Falcons and 23.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers.
The spread has moved from -3.5 to -6.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 42 to 40.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Atlanta Falcons — Brian Robinson (RB) at 103 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards, Drake London (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 79 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 163 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 44 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium.
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers won 20-13 (home, under).
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ATS: home. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | PIT -6.5 (open -3.5) |
| Total | 40.5 (open 42) |
| Moneyline (ATL / PIT) | +243 / -296 |
| PIT implied win probability | 72% |
| Implied team totals (ATL — PIT) | 17.0 — 23.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
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The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.