Carolina Panthers @ Pittsburgh Steelers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Acrisure Stadium

Game preview

The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 3.5-point favourite over Carolina Panthers, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +160 for Carolina Panthers and -192 for Pittsburgh Steelers, a devigged 63% win probability for Pittsburgh Steelers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Carolina Panthers and 22.5 for Pittsburgh Steelers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Carolina Panthers — Bryce Young (QB) at 205 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Chuba Hubbard (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 184 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Acrisure Stadium.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Panthers at Steelers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadPIT -3.5
Total41.5
Moneyline (CAR / PIT)+160 / -192
PIT implied win probability63%
Implied team totals (CAR — PIT)19.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Carolina Panthers · 19.0 proj pts
Bryce Young (QB) — 205 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Chuba Hubbard (RB) — 62 rush yds · 16 rec yds
Tetairoa McMillan (WR) — 66 rec yds · 4.8 rec
Pittsburgh Steelers · 22.5 proj pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 184 pass yds · 6 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 55 rush yds · 23 rec yds
DK Metcalf (WR) — 66 rec yds · 4.7 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule