Tennessee Titans @ Las Vegas Raiders — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 16 2026

Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Raiders 22, Titans 21 (market-implied). The market gives the Las Vegas Raiders a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Titans @ Raiders, on one screen.

Titans20.5win 47%
Market-implied score
Raiders22.0win 53%
SpreadLV -1.5
Total42.5
Moneyline+102 / -122
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Titans vs Raiders prediction

The market makes Las Vegas Raiders a 1.5-point favorite over Tennessee Titans, with the game total at 42.5.

Moneylines sit at +102 for Tennessee Titans and -122 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 53% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Tennessee Titans and 22 for Las Vegas Raiders.

The total has moved from 42 to 42.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tennessee Titans — Cam Ward (QB) at 204 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Tony Pollard (RB) at 74 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 220 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 41 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 27, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Titans at Raiders — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLV -1.5
Total42.5 (open 42)
Moneyline (TEN / LV)+102 / -122
LV implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (TEN — LV)20.5 — 22.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Titans and Raiders this season

Games before Week 16. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Tennessee Titans1-74-44-418.024.97
Las Vegas Raiders4-56-37-226.429.87

Titans' last 3 games: L 36-43 @ CIN · L 24-27 vs CLE · W 26-20 @ IND.

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-38 @ SF · W 38-33 @ NYJ · L 21-35 vs LA.

Player projections

Tennessee Titans · 20.5 market-implied pts
Cam Ward (QB) — 204 pass yds · 14 rush yds
Tony Pollard (RB) — 74 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Carnell Tate (WR) — 53 rec yds · 4.6 rec
Las Vegas Raiders · 22.0 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 220 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 41 rush yds · 28 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 54 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Titans @ Raiders, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Titans @ Raiders matchup →

Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 16 games

← Week 15 · Week 17 → · Full 2026 schedule

Titans 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule