Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Gillette Stadium
The market makes New England Patriots a 8.5-point favourite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 44.5.
Moneylines sit at +310 for Las Vegas Raiders and -395 for New England Patriots, a devigged 77% win probability for New England Patriots; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 18 for Las Vegas Raiders and 26.5 for New England Patriots.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 183 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards; New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 229 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 11, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Gillette Stadium.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NE -8.5 |
| Total | 44.5 |
| Moneyline (LV / NE) | +310 / -395 |
| NE implied win probability | 77% |
| Implied team totals (LV — NE) | 18.0 — 26.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.