Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Broncos 23, Raiders 18 (market-implied). The market gives the Denver Broncos a 64% chance to win. · Updated

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Broncos22.6win 64%
Market-implied score
Raiders18.4win 36%
SpreadDEN -4.25
Total41
Moneyline-202 / +165
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Broncos vs Raiders prediction

The market makes Denver Broncos a 4.25-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 41.

Moneylines sit at -202 for Denver Broncos and +165 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 36% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.6 for Denver Broncos and 18.4 for Las Vegas Raiders.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 212 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Jonah Coleman (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 212 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 43 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Broncos at Raiders — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -4.25
Total41
Moneyline (DEN / LV)-202 / +165
LV implied win probability36%
Implied team totals (DEN — LV)22.6 — 18.4

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Broncos and Raiders this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Denver Broncos7-27-24-522.020.77
Las Vegas Raiders4-56-37-226.429.87

Broncos' last 3 games: W 26-21 @ CAR · W 28-24 vs KC · W 30-16 @ ARI.

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-38 @ SF · W 38-33 @ NYJ · L 21-35 vs LA.

Player projections

Denver Broncos · 22.6 market-implied pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 212 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Jonah Coleman (RB) — 49 rush yds · 19 rec yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 43 rush yds · 7 rec yds
Las Vegas Raiders · 18.4 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 212 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 43 rush yds · 27 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 56 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Broncos @ Raiders, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Broncos @ Raiders matchup →

Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Broncos 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule