Thursday, December 17, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · SoFi Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Los Angeles Chargers a 2.5-point favourite over San Francisco 49ers, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at +120 for San Francisco 49ers and -142 for Los Angeles Chargers, a devigged 56% win probability for Los Angeles Chargers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for San Francisco 49ers and 25 for Los Angeles Chargers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 228 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 49 rushing yards and 33 receiving yards; Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 201 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, December 17, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at SoFi Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LAC -2.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (SF / LAC) | +120 / -142 |
| LAC implied win probability | 56% |
| Implied team totals (SF — LAC) | 22.5 — 25.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.