Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium (indoors)

Prediction: Lions 24, Vikings 23 (market-implied). The market gives the Detroit Lions a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Lions24.0win 53%
Market-implied score
Vikings22.5win 47%
SpreadDET -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline-125 / +105
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Lions vs Vikings prediction

The market makes Detroit Lions a 1.5-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Detroit Lions and +105 for Minnesota Vikings, a devigged 47% win probability for Minnesota Vikings; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Detroit Lions and 22.5 for Minnesota Vikings.

The spread has moved from DET -2 to DET -1.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 46 to 46.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 237 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 99 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards; Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 223 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Justin Jefferson (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 68 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET, at U.S. Bank Stadium, indoors, Minnesota Vikings take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Lions at Vikings — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDET -1.5 (open DET -2)
Total46.5 (open 46)
Moneyline (DET / MIN)-125 / +105
MIN implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (DET — MIN)24.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Lions and Vikings this season

Games before Week 15. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Detroit Lions6-23-4-15-327.823.67
Minnesota Vikings6-24-41-718.314.510

Lions' last 3 games: W 19-9 @ MIA · W 19-15 vs MIN · W 20-17 vs GB.

Vikings' last 3 games: L 6-23 vs BUF · L 15-19 @ DET · W 16-10 vs IND.

Player projections

Detroit Lions · 24.0 market-implied pts
Jared Goff (QB) — 237 pass yds · 4 rush yds
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) — 99 rush yds · 26 rec yds
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) — 1 rush yds · 79 rec yds
Minnesota Vikings · 22.5 market-implied pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 223 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 1 rush yds · 68 rec yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 43 rush yds · 14 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Lions @ Vikings, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Played indoors, so weather is not a factor. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule

Lions 2026 schedule

Vikings 2026 schedule