Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 15 2026

Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · U.S. Bank Stadium (indoors)

Game preview

The market makes Detroit Lions a 1.5-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 46.5.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Detroit Lions and +105 for Minnesota Vikings, a devigged 47% win probability for Minnesota Vikings; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Detroit Lions and 22.5 for Minnesota Vikings.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 268 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 91 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards; Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 215 passing yards and 13 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 77 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, December 20, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at U.S. Bank Stadium, indoors, Minnesota Vikings take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Lions at Vikings — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadDET -1.5
Total46.5
Moneyline (DET / MIN)-125 / +105
MIN implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (DET — MIN)24.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Detroit Lions · 24.0 proj pts
Jared Goff (QB) — 268 pass yds · 4 rush yds
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) — 91 rush yds · 32 rec yds
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) — 93 rec yds · 7.8 rec
Minnesota Vikings · 22.5 proj pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 215 pass yds · 13 rush yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 77 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 66 rec yds · 4.7 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 15 games

← Week 14 · Week 16 → · Full 2026 schedule