Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 3 2026

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Vikings23market had 21.8
Final
Buccaneers16market had 20.8
SpreadMIN -1
Total42.5
Moneyline-115 / -105
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 1-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 42.5.

Moneylines sit at -115 for Minnesota Vikings and -105 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 49% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.8 for Minnesota Vikings and 20.8 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The spread has moved from MIN -2 to MIN -1 since it opened and the total has moved from 43 to 42.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Minnesota Vikings — Kyler Murray (QB) at 188 passing yards and 23 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 219 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 4:05 PM ET, at Raymond James Stadium.

Final: Minnesota Vikings won 23-16; Minnesota Vikings covered the spread (MIN -1) and the game went under the 42.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

MIN 23 — TB 16

Minnesota Vikings covered the spread (MIN -1) and the game went under the 42.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Vikings at Buccaneers — lines as of Sun, 9/27 · 4:05 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadMIN -1 (open MIN -2)
Total42.5 (open 43)
Moneyline (MIN / TB)-115 / -105
TB implied win probability49%
Implied team totals (MIN — TB)21.8 — 20.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Vikings and Buccaneers this season

Games before Week 3. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Minnesota Vikings2-02-01-124.012.57
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-20-22-023.028.07

Vikings' last 2 games: W 9-3 @ CHI · W 39-22 vs GB.

Buccaneers' last 2 games: L 19-23 vs CLE · L 27-33 @ CIN.

Pre-game injury report

Minnesota Vikings

Inactive: Tavierre Thomas (S).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Inactive: Rakeem Nunez-Roches (DT).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/27 · 3:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Minnesota Vikings · 21.8 market-implied pts
Kyler Murray (QB) — 188 pass yds · 23 rush yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 71 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 57 rec yds · 4.4 rec
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 20.8 market-implied pts
Baker Mayfield (QB) — 219 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 61 rush yds · 22 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 2 rush yds · 48 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Vikings @ Buccaneers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Vikings @ Buccaneers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule

Vikings 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule