Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Raymond James Stadium
The market makes Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 1.5-point favourite over Pittsburgh Steelers, with the game total at 45.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Pittsburgh Steelers and -125 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 53% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 23.5 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 189 passing yards and 6 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 45 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 215 passing yards and 19 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay Buccaneers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | TB -1.5 |
| Total | 45.5 |
| Moneyline (PIT / TB) | +105 / -125 |
| TB implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (PIT — TB) | 22.0 — 23.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.