Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 6 2026

Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Steelers26market had 20.3
Final
Buccaneers19market had 17.8
SpreadPIT -2.5
Total38
Moneyline-140 / +118
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Pittsburgh Steelers a 2.5-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 38.

Moneylines sit at -140 for Pittsburgh Steelers and +118 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 44% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.3 for Pittsburgh Steelers and 17.8 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The total has moved from 40.5 to 38.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Pittsburgh Steelers — Aaron Rodgers (QB) at 178 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jaylen Warren (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jalon Daniels (QB) at 203 passing yards and 35 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay Buccaneers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers won 26-19; Pittsburgh Steelers covered the spread (PIT -2.5) and the game went over the 38 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

PIT 26 — TB 19

Pittsburgh Steelers covered the spread (PIT -2.5) and the game went over the 38 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Steelers at Buccaneers — lines as of Sun, 10/18 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadPIT -2.5
Total38 (open 40.5)
Moneyline (PIT / TB)-140 / +118
TB implied win probability44%
Implied team totals (PIT — TB)20.3 — 17.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Steelers and Buccaneers this season

Games before Week 6. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Pittsburgh Steelers3-23-23-222.221.87
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1-41-42-320.022.410

Steelers' last 3 games: W 34-22 vs IND · L 24-27 @ CLE · W 30-27 vs CIN.

Buccaneers' last 3 games: W 24-16 @ DAL · L 14-17 vs GB · L 16-23 vs MIN.

Pre-game injury report

Pittsburgh Steelers

Out: Ben Skowronek (WR, calf), Roman Wilson (WR, finger), DeShon Elliott (S, knee).

Questionable: Rico Dowdle (RB, toe), Pat Freiermuth (TE, calf), Jalen Ramsey (CB, wrist), Jamel Dean (CB, ankle), Keeanu Benton (DT, ankle).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Out: Baker Mayfield (QB, thumb), David Sills (WR, hamstring), Antoine Winfield Jr. (S, rib).

Doubtful: Benjamin Morrison (CB, quadricep).

Questionable: Sean Tucker (RB, quadricep), Ayden Garnes (CB, ankle), Josiah Trotter (LB, knee), SirVocea Dennis (LB, ankle).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/18 · 12:08 PM ET.

Player projections

Pittsburgh Steelers · 20.3 market-implied pts
Aaron Rodgers (QB) — 178 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jaylen Warren (RB) — 54 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Rico Dowdle (RB) — 31 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 17.8 market-implied pts
Jalon Daniels (QB) — 203 pass yds · 35 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 68 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 4 rush yds · 50 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Steelers @ Buccaneers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Steelers @ Buccaneers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 6 games

← Week 5 · Week 7 → · Full 2026 schedule

Steelers 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule