Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium

Prediction: Rams 26, Buccaneers 22 (market-implied). The market gives the Los Angeles Rams a 64% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Rams @ Buccaneers, on one screen.

Rams26.0win 64%
Market-implied score
Buccaneers22.0win 36%
SpreadLA -4
Total48
Moneyline-202 / +163
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Rams vs Buccaneers prediction

The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 4-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 48.

Moneylines sit at -202 for Los Angeles Rams and +163 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 36% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26 for Los Angeles Rams and 22 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 236 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 4 rushing yards and 96 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 197 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 1:00 PM ET, at Raymond James Stadium, Los Angeles Rams take the extra rest, 9 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Rams at Buccaneers — lines as of Thu, 9/10 · 8:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLA -4
Total48
Moneyline (LA / TB)-202 / +163
TB implied win probability36%
Implied team totals (LA — TB)26.0 — 22.0

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Rams and Buccaneers this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Los Angeles Rams5-45-44-523.820.19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-64-55-422.419.87

Rams' last 3 games: W 20-13 @ WAS · W 24-9 vs LAC · W 35-21 @ LV.

Buccaneers' last 3 games: L 24-27 @ CHI · W 16-0 vs ATL · W 43-13 @ CAR.

Player projections

Los Angeles Rams · 26.0 market-implied pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 236 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Puka Nacua (WR) — 4 rush yds · 96 rec yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 56 rush yds · 20 rec yds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 22.0 market-implied pts
Baker Mayfield (QB) — 197 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 78 rush yds · 17 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 2 rush yds · 56 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Rams @ Buccaneers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Rams @ Buccaneers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Rams 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule