Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Raymond James Stadium
The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 4.5-point favourite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at -205 for Los Angeles Rams and +170 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a devigged 36% win probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.5 for Los Angeles Rams and 22 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 221 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 81 receiving yards; Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 222 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 25 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Raymond James Stadium, Los Angeles Rams take the extra rest, 9 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LA -4.5 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (LA / TB) | -205 / +170 |
| TB implied win probability | 36% |
| Implied team totals (LA — TB) | 26.5 — 22.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.