Las Vegas Raiders @ Arizona Cardinals — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 17 2026

Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 4:05 PM ET · State Farm Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Raiders 22, Cardinals 20 (market-implied). The market gives the Las Vegas Raiders a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Raiders @ Cardinals, on one screen.

Raiders21.8win 53%
Market-implied score
Cardinals20.3win 47%
SpreadLV -1.5
Total42
Moneyline-125 / +100
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Raiders vs Cardinals prediction

The market makes Las Vegas Raiders a 1.5-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals, with the game total at 42.

Moneylines sit at -125 for Las Vegas Raiders and +100 for Arizona Cardinals, a devigged 47% win probability for Arizona Cardinals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.8 for Las Vegas Raiders and 20.3 for Arizona Cardinals.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 215 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 46 rushing yards and 28 receiving yards; Arizona Cardinals — Gardner Minshew (QB) at 251 passing yards and 7 rushing yards, Trey McBride (TE) at 78 receiving yards and 7.6 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, January 3, 2027 · 4:05 PM ET, at State Farm Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Raiders at Cardinals — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadLV -1.5
Total42
Moneyline (LV / ARI)-125 / +100
ARI implied win probability47%
Implied team totals (LV — ARI)21.8 — 20.3

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Raiders and Cardinals this season

Games before Week 17. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Las Vegas Raiders4-56-37-226.429.87
Arizona Cardinals3-64-55-419.828.37

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-38 @ SF · W 38-33 @ NYJ · L 21-35 vs LA.

Cardinals' last 3 games: L 3-17 @ SEA · W 33-30 @ DAL · L 16-30 vs DEN.

Player projections

Las Vegas Raiders · 21.8 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 215 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 46 rush yds · 28 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 54 rec yds
Arizona Cardinals · 20.3 market-implied pts
Gardner Minshew (QB) — 251 pass yds · 7 rush yds
Trey McBride (TE) — 78 rec yds · 7.6 rec
Tyler Allgeier (RB) — 60 rush yds · 18 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Raiders @ Cardinals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Raiders @ Cardinals matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 17 games

← Week 16 · Week 18 → · Full 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule

Cardinals 2026 schedule