Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Empower Field at Mile High

Prediction: Broncos 25, Raiders 16 (market-implied). The market gives the Denver Broncos a 76% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Raiders @ Broncos, on one screen.

Raiders16.0win 24%
Market-implied score
Broncos24.5win 76%
SpreadDEN -8.5
Total40.5
Moneyline+303 / -392
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Raiders vs Broncos prediction

The market makes Denver Broncos an 8.5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 40.5.

Moneylines sit at +303 for Las Vegas Raiders and -392 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 76% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16 for Las Vegas Raiders and 24.5 for Denver Broncos.

The spread has moved from DEN -8 to DEN -8.5 since it opened.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 211 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 42 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 213 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Jonah Coleman (RB) at 50 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver Broncos take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Raiders at Broncos — lines as of Tue, 11/10 · 9:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -8.5 (open DEN -8)
Total40.5
Moneyline (LV / DEN)+303 / -392
DEN implied win probability76%
Implied team totals (LV — DEN)16.0 — 24.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Raiders and Broncos this season

Games before Week 11. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Las Vegas Raiders4-56-37-226.429.87
Denver Broncos7-27-24-522.020.714

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-38 @ SF · W 38-33 @ NYJ · L 21-35 vs LA.

Broncos' last 3 games: W 26-21 @ CAR · W 28-24 vs KC · W 30-16 @ ARI.

Player projections

Las Vegas Raiders · 16.0 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 211 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 42 rush yds · 27 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 56 rec yds
Denver Broncos · 24.5 market-implied pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 213 pass yds · 16 rush yds
Jonah Coleman (RB) — 50 rush yds · 19 rec yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 44 rush yds · 7 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Raiders @ Broncos, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

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Kickoff forecast: 30°F, wind 5 mph from the ENE, 3% chance of precipitation. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

← Week 10 · Week 12 → · Full 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule

Broncos 2026 schedule