Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 11 2026

Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Empower Field at Mile High

Game preview

The market makes Denver Broncos a 7.5-point favourite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +270 for Las Vegas Raiders and -340 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 74% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 17 for Las Vegas Raiders and 24.5 for Denver Broncos.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 180 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 29 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 206 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 51 rushing yards and 6 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver Broncos take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Raiders at Broncos — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadDEN -7.5
Total41.5
Moneyline (LV / DEN)+270 / -340
DEN implied win probability74%
Implied team totals (LV — DEN)17.0 — 24.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Las Vegas Raiders · 16.5 proj pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 180 pass yds · 2 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 68 rush yds · 29 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 1 rush yds · 48 rec yds
Denver Broncos · 24.5 proj pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 206 pass yds · 16 rush yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 51 rush yds · 6 rec yds
Jaylen Waddle (WR) — 54 rec yds · 3.9 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 11 games

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