Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 6 2026

Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium (indoors)

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Bills33market had 29.5
Final
Raiders30market had 24.5
SpreadBUF -5
Total54
Moneyline-236 / +195
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Buffalo Bills a 5-point favorite over Las Vegas Raiders, with the game total at 54.

Moneylines sit at -236 for Buffalo Bills and +195 for Las Vegas Raiders, a devigged 33% win probability for Las Vegas Raiders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 29.5 for Buffalo Bills and 24.5 for Las Vegas Raiders.

The spread has moved from BUF -6 to BUF -5 since it opened and the total has moved from 52.5 to 54.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 250 passing yards and 34 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 90 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards; Las Vegas Raiders — Kirk Cousins (QB) at 217 passing yards and 3 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty (RB) at 60 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Allegiant Stadium, indoors.

Final: Buffalo Bills won 33-30; Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread (BUF -5) and the game went over the 54 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

BUF 33 — LV 30

Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread (BUF -5) and the game went over the 54 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Bills at Raiders — lines as of Sun, 10/18 · 4:20 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBUF -5 (open BUF -6)
Total54 (open 52.5)
Moneyline (BUF / LV)-236 / +195
LV implied win probability33%
Implied team totals (BUF — LV)29.5 — 24.5

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Bills and Raiders this season

Games before Week 6. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Buffalo Bills4-14-14-132.828.26
Las Vegas Raiders3-24-13-226.425.87

Bills' last 3 games: W 37-34 @ LA · L 26-29 vs NE · W 24-16 vs LAC.

Raiders' last 3 games: L 17-45 @ NE · L 27-30 vs KC · W 35-27 @ NO.

Pre-game injury report

Buffalo Bills

Inactive: DJ Moore (WR), Ar'maj Reed-Adams (G), Ed Oliver (DT), Jude Bowry (T), Mike Danna (DE).

Las Vegas Raiders

Inactive: Aidan O'Connell (QB), Bryce Cabeldue (G), Dalton Johnson (S), Tonka Hemingway (DT), Tristin McCollum (S).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/18 · 3:23 PM ET.

Player projections

Buffalo Bills · 29.5 market-implied pts
Josh Allen (QB) — 250 pass yds · 34 rush yds
James Cook (RB) — 90 rush yds · 17 rec yds
Khalil Shakir (WR) — 58 rec yds · 4.5 rec
Las Vegas Raiders · 24.5 market-implied pts
Kirk Cousins (QB) — 217 pass yds · 3 rush yds
Ashton Jeanty (RB) — 60 rush yds · 27 rec yds
Brock Bowers (TE) — 57 rec yds · 6.2 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bills @ Raiders, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bills @ Raiders matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 6 games

← Week 5 · Week 7 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bills 2026 schedule

Raiders 2026 schedule