Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 1 2026

Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · NRG Stadium (indoors)

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Bills36market had 22.8
Final
Texans31market had 21.8
SpreadBUF -1
Total44.5
Moneyline-116 / -102
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Buffalo Bills a 1-point favorite over Houston Texans, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at -116 for Buffalo Bills and -102 for Houston Texans, a devigged 49% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.8 for Buffalo Bills and 21.8 for Houston Texans.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 230 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 220 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, David Montgomery (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at NRG Stadium, indoors.

Final: Buffalo Bills won 36-31; Buffalo Bills covered the spread (BUF -1) and the game went over the 44.5 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

BUF 36 — HOU 31

Buffalo Bills covered the spread (BUF -1) and the game went over the 44.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Bills at Texans — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadBUF -1
Total44.5
Moneyline (BUF / HOU)-116 / -102
HOU implied win probability49%
Implied team totals (BUF — HOU)22.8 — 21.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Pre-game injury report

Buffalo Bills

Questionable: Ty Johnson (RB, hamstring), Jordan Hancock (CB, quadricep), T.J. Sanders (DE, knee).

Houston Texans

No players listed with a game designation.

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Buffalo Bills · 22.8 market-implied pts
Josh Allen (QB) — 230 pass yds · 28 rush yds
James Cook (RB) — 73 rush yds · 16 rec yds
DJ Moore (WR) — 4 rush yds · 47 rec yds
Houston Texans · 21.8 market-implied pts
C.J. Stroud (QB) — 220 pass yds · 15 rush yds
David Montgomery (RB) — 54 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Nico Collins (WR) — 1 rush yds · 65 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Bills @ Texans, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Bills @ Texans matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 1 games

Week 2 → · Full 2026 schedule

Bills 2026 schedule

Texans 2026 schedule