Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Northwest Stadium
The market makes Houston Texans a 1.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 44.5.
Moneylines sit at -122 for Houston Texans and +102 for Washington Commanders, a devigged 47% win probability for Washington Commanders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Houston Texans and 21.5 for Washington Commanders.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 272 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 84 receiving yards; Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 220 passing yards and 36 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 8 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, December 13, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Northwest Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -1.5 |
| Total | 44.5 |
| Moneyline (HOU / WAS) | -122 / +102 |
| WAS implied win probability | 47% |
| Implied team totals (HOU — WAS) | 23.0 — 21.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.