Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Reliant Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes Houston Texans a 5.5-point favourite over New York Giants, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +195 for New York Giants and -238 for Houston Texans, a devigged 68% win probability for Houston Texans; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for New York Giants and 24.5 for Houston Texans.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Giants — Jameis Winston (QB) at 211 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Cam Skattebo (RB) at 57 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards; Houston Texans — C.J. Stroud (QB) at 266 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Nico Collins (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 80 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Reliant Stadium, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -5.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (NYG / HOU) | +195 / -238 |
| HOU implied win probability | 68% |
| Implied team totals (NYG — HOU) | 19.0 — 24.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.