San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 7 2026

Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

49ers20market had 26.3
Final
Falcons29market had 23.8
SpreadSF -2.5
Total50
Moneyline-148 / +125
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side

Game preview

The market makes San Francisco 49ers a 2.5-point favorite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 50.

Moneylines sit at -148 for San Francisco 49ers and +125 for Atlanta Falcons, a devigged 43% win probability for Atlanta Falcons; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.3 for San Francisco 49ers and 23.8 for Atlanta Falcons.

The spread has moved from SF -4.5 to SF -2.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 49.5 to 50.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 243 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 53 rushing yards and 52 receiving yards; Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 225 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 97 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Final: Atlanta Falcons won 29-20; Atlanta Falcons covered the spread (SF -2.5) and the game went under the 50 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

SF 20 — ATL 29

Atlanta Falcons covered the spread (SF -2.5) and the game went under the 50 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for 49ers at Falcons — lines as of Sun, 10/25 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadSF -2.5 (open SF -4.5)
Total50 (open 49.5)
Moneyline (SF / ATL)-148 / +125
ATL implied win probability43%
Implied team totals (SF — ATL)26.3 — 23.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

49ers and Falcons this season

Games before Week 7. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
San Francisco 49ers6-04-23-329.518.36
Atlanta Falcons2-42-44-223.725.57

49ers' last 3 games: W 23-17 vs WAS · W 32-29 @ SEA · W 24-14 vs DEN.

Falcons' last 3 games: L 23-31 vs CHI · L 23-30 vs BAL · W 45-24 @ NO.

Pre-game injury report

San Francisco 49ers

Out: Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR, hamstring), Mike Evans (WR, ribs), Garret Wallow (LB, hamstring), Luke Gifford (LB, groin), Marques Sigle (S, ankle), Nick Bosa (DE, knee).

Questionable: Christian Kirk (WR, calf), Siran Neal (S, knee), Upton Stout (CB, shoulder).

Atlanta Falcons

Out: Brian Robinson (RB, hamstring), Beaux Collins (WR, hip), Billy Bowman Jr. (CB, hamstring), Cameron Williams (T, ankle), Divine Deablo (LB, forearm), Michael Jerrell (T, biceps).

Questionable: Olamide Zaccheaus (WR, shoulder), A.J. Terrell (CB, groin), Avieon Terrell (CB, back), C.J. Henderson (CB, groin), Gervon Dexter Sr. (DT, hamstring), Kendal Daniels (LB, neck), Samson Ebukam (DE, hamstring), Za'Darius Smith (DE, neck).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/25 · 12:08 PM ET.

Player projections

San Francisco 49ers · 26.3 market-implied pts
Brock Purdy (QB) — 243 pass yds · 20 rush yds
Christian McCaffrey (RB) — 53 rush yds · 52 rec yds
George Kittle (TE) — 83 rec yds · 6.2 rec
Atlanta Falcons · 23.8 market-implied pts
Michael Penix Jr. (QB) — 225 pass yds · 8 rush yds
Bijan Robinson (RB) — 97 rush yds · 30 rec yds
Drake London (WR) — 1 rush yds · 84 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides 49ers @ Falcons, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the 49ers @ Falcons matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 7 games

← Week 6 · Week 8 → · Full 2026 schedule

49ers 2026 schedule

Falcons 2026 schedule