Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (retractable roof)
The market makes San Francisco 49ers a 4.5-point favourite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 47.5.
Moneylines sit at -230 for San Francisco 49ers and +190 for Atlanta Falcons, a devigged 33% win probability for Atlanta Falcons; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26 for San Francisco 49ers and 21.5 for Atlanta Falcons.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 238 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 44 rushing yards and 35 receiving yards; Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 207 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 84 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 25, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, indoors.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SF -4.5 |
| Total | 47.5 |
| Moneyline (SF / ATL) | -230 / +190 |
| ATL implied win probability | 33% |
| Implied team totals (SF — ATL) | 26.0 — 21.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.