Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Levi's Stadium
The market makes San Francisco 49ers a 13-point favourite over Miami Dolphins, with the game total at 45.
Moneylines sit at +660 for Miami Dolphins and -943 for San Francisco 49ers, a devigged 87% win probability for San Francisco 49ers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16 for Miami Dolphins and 29 for San Francisco 49ers.
The total has moved from 45.5 to 45.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Miami Dolphins — Malik Willis (QB) at 236 passing yards and 36 rushing yards, De'Von Achane (RB) at 71 rushing yards and 30 receiving yards; San Francisco 49ers — Brock Purdy (QB) at 223 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, Christian McCaffrey (RB) at 51 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Levi's Stadium, San Francisco 49ers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
Final: San Francisco 49ers won 35-13 (home, over).
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ATS: home. Total: over.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | SF -13 (open -13.25) |
| Total | 45 (open 45.5) |
| Moneyline (MIA / SF) | +660 / -943 |
| SF implied win probability | 87% |
| Implied team totals (MIA — SF) | 16.0 — 29.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.