Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · MetLife Stadium
The market makes Green Bay Packers a 3-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 44.
Moneylines sit at -171 for Green Bay Packers and +142 for New York Jets, a devigged 40% win probability for New York Jets; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.5 for Green Bay Packers and 20.5 for New York Jets.
The spread has moved from 5.5 to 3 since it opened and the total has moved from 42.5 to 44.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 222 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, MarShawn Lloyd (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 216 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 61 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at MetLife Stadium.
Final: Green Bay Packers won 20-17 (push, under).
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
ATS: push. Total: under.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | GB -3 (open +5.5) |
| Total | 44 (open 42.5) |
| Moneyline (GB / NYJ) | -171 / +142 |
| NYJ implied win probability | 40% |
| Implied team totals (GB — NYJ) | 23.5 — 20.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.