Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT · Gillette Stadium
The market makes New England Patriots a 1.5-point favourite over Green Bay Packers, with the game total at 46.5.
Moneylines sit at +105 for Green Bay Packers and -125 for New England Patriots, a devigged 53% win probability for New England Patriots; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Green Bay Packers and 24 for New England Patriots.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 237 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 68 receiving yards and 4.9 catches; New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 230 passing yards and 29 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 48 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 3:25 PM CT, at Gillette Stadium, Green Bay Packers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | NE -1.5 |
| Total | 46.5 |
| Moneyline (GB / NE) | +105 / -125 |
| NE implied win probability | 53% |
| Implied team totals (GB — NE) | 22.5 — 24.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.