Green Bay Packers @ New England Patriots — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 9 2026

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET · Gillette Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Packers45market had 20.8
Final
Patriots27market had 23.8
SpreadNE -3
Total44.5
Moneyline+150 / -176
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
Open the full matchup →All Access

Game preview

The market makes New England Patriots a 3-point favorite over Green Bay Packers, with the game total at 44.5.

Moneylines sit at +150 for Green Bay Packers and -176 for New England Patriots, a devigged 62% win probability for New England Patriots; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.8 for Green Bay Packers and 23.8 for New England Patriots.

The total has moved from 47 to 44.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 236 passing yards and 7 rushing yards, Josh Jacobs (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards; New England Patriots — Drake Maye (QB) at 244 passing yards and 30 rushing yards, Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) at 64 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 4:25 PM ET, at Gillette Stadium, Green Bay Packers take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.

Final: Green Bay Packers won 45-27; Green Bay Packers covered the spread (NE -3) and the game went over the 44.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 9 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

GB 45 — NE 27

Green Bay Packers covered the spread (NE -3) and the game went over the 44.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Packers at Patriots — lines as of Sun, 11/8 · 4:20 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadNE -3
Total44.5 (open 47)
Moneyline (GB / NE)+150 / -176
NE implied win probability62%
Implied team totals (GB — NE)20.8 — 23.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Packers and Patriots this season

Games before Week 9. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Green Bay Packers5-35-2-12-621.420.510
New England Patriots5-33-4-15-323.020.37

Packers' last 3 games: W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET · W 23-13 vs DAL.

Patriots' last 3 games: W 24-19 @ MIA · L 24-30 @ CHI · W 26-19 vs NYJ.

Pre-game injury report

Green Bay Packers

Inactive: Travis Glover (T), Zaire Franklin (LB).

New England Patriots

Inactive: Behren Morton (QB), TreVeyon Henderson (RB), A.J. Brown (WR), Charles Woods (CB), Dametrious Crownover (T).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 11/8 · 3:22 PM ET.

Player projections

Green Bay Packers · 20.8 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 236 pass yds · 7 rush yds
Josh Jacobs (RB) — 59 rush yds · 27 rec yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 61 rec yds · 4.8 rec
New England Patriots · 23.8 market-implied pts
Drake Maye (QB) — 244 pass yds · 30 rush yds
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) — 64 rush yds · 26 rec yds
DeMario Douglas (WR) — 56 rec yds · 4.0 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Packers @ Patriots, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Packers @ Patriots matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 9 games

← Week 8 · Week 10 → · Full 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule

Patriots 2026 schedule