Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field

Prediction: Packers 23, Vikings 19 (market-implied). The market gives the Green Bay Packers a 62% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Vikings @ Packers, on one screen.

Vikings19.0win 38%
Market-implied score
Packers22.5win 62%
SpreadGB -3.5
Total41.5
Moneyline+150 / -179
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Vikings vs Packers prediction

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 3.5-point favorite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 41.5.

Moneylines sit at +150 for Minnesota Vikings and -179 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 62% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19 for Minnesota Vikings and 22.5 for Green Bay Packers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 209 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Justin Jefferson (WR) at 1 rushing yards and 64 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 234 passing yards and 7 rushing yards, Josh Jacobs (RB) at 47 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Lambeau Field.

From the blog: NFL Week 10 Preview: Who's Hot, Who's Fading and Where I'm Leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Vikings at Packers — lines as of Tue, 11/10 · 9:02 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -3.5 (open GB -3.25)
Total41.5 (open 41.75)
Moneyline (MIN / GB)+150 / -179
GB implied win probability62%
Implied team totals (MIN — GB)19.0 — 22.5

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Vikings and Packers this season

Games before Week 10. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Minnesota Vikings6-24-41-718.314.56
Green Bay Packers6-36-2-13-624.021.27

Vikings' last 3 games: L 6-23 vs BUF · L 15-19 @ DET · W 16-10 vs IND.

Packers' last 3 games: W 45-27 @ NE · W 27-19 vs CAR · L 17-20 @ DET.

Player projections

Minnesota Vikings · 19.0 market-implied pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 209 pass yds · 11 rush yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 1 rush yds · 64 rec yds
Jordan Mason (RB) — 48 rush yds · 8 rec yds
Green Bay Packers · 22.5 market-implied pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 234 pass yds · 7 rush yds
Josh Jacobs (RB) — 47 rush yds · 19 rec yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 65 rec yds · 4.8 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Vikings @ Packers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Vikings @ Packers matchup →

Kickoff forecast: 44°F, wind 7 mph from the NNE, 1% chance of precipitation. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule

Vikings 2026 schedule

Packers 2026 schedule