Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 10 2026

Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Lambeau Field

Game preview

The market makes Green Bay Packers a 4.5-point favourite over Minnesota Vikings, with the game total at 45.5.

Moneylines sit at +200 for Minnesota Vikings and -245 for Green Bay Packers, a devigged 68% win probability for Green Bay Packers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Minnesota Vikings and 25 for Green Bay Packers.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 194 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 78 rushing yards and 10 receiving yards; Green Bay Packers — Jordan Love (QB) at 251 passing yards and 9 rushing yards, Christian Watson (WR) at 73 receiving yards and 4.9 catches.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 15, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Lambeau Field.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Vikings at Packers — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadGB -4.5
Total45.5
Moneyline (MIN / GB)+200 / -245
GB implied win probability68%
Implied team totals (MIN — GB)20.5 — 25.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Minnesota Vikings · 20.5 proj pts
Carson Wentz (QB) — 194 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Aaron Jones (RB) — 78 rush yds · 10 rec yds
Justin Jefferson (WR) — 62 rec yds · 4.5 rec
Green Bay Packers · 25.0 proj pts
Jordan Love (QB) — 251 pass yds · 9 rush yds
Christian Watson (WR) — 73 rec yds · 4.9 rec
Matthew Golden (WR) — 57 rec yds · 4.2 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 10 games

← Week 9 · Week 11 → · Full 2026 schedule