Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · U.S. Bank Stadium (indoors)
The market makes Minnesota Vikings a 4.5-point favourite over Atlanta Falcons, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +180 for Atlanta Falcons and -218 for Minnesota Vikings, a devigged 66% win probability for Minnesota Vikings; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 19.5 for Atlanta Falcons and 24 for Minnesota Vikings.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Atlanta Falcons — Michael Penix Jr. (QB) at 215 passing yards and 8 rushing yards, Bijan Robinson (RB) at 84 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards; Minnesota Vikings — Carson Wentz (QB) at 196 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Aaron Jones (RB) at 72 rushing yards and 11 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at U.S. Bank Stadium, indoors, Atlanta Falcons take the extra rest, 14 days to 7.
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| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | MIN -4.5 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (ATL / MIN) | +180 / -218 |
| MIN implied win probability | 66% |
| Implied team totals (ATL — MIN) | 19.5 — 24.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.