Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 4:30 PM ET · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)

Prediction: Cowboys 26, Eagles 24 (market-implied). The market gives the Dallas Cowboys a 53% chance to win. · Updated

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Every angle of Eagles @ Cowboys, on one screen.

Eagles24.0win 47%
Market-implied score
Cowboys25.5win 53%
SpreadDAL -1.5
Total49.5
Moneyline+105 / -125
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Eagles vs Cowboys prediction

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 1.5-point favorite over Philadelphia Eagles, with the game total at 49.5.

Moneylines sit at +105 for Philadelphia Eagles and -125 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 53% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24 for Philadelphia Eagles and 25.5 for Dallas Cowboys.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Philadelphia Eagles — Joe Milton III (QB) at 244 passing yards and 42 rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 245 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 73 rushing yards and 13 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 4:30 PM ET, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market

Consensus market for Eagles at Cowboys — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 1:16 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -1.5
Total49.5
Moneyline (PHI / DAL)+105 / -125
DAL implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (PHI — DAL)24.0 — 25.5

Devigged cross-book consensus from the latest snapshot we hold, dated above. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Eagles and Cowboys this season

Games before Week 12. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Philadelphia Eagles2-71-84-516.424.64
Dallas Cowboys4-55-46-327.326.24

Eagles' last 3 games: L 11-19 vs NYG · L 10-27 @ WAS · L 21-38 vs DAL.

Cowboys' last 3 games: W 27-23 @ IND · L 30-33 vs ARI · W 38-21 @ PHI.

Player projections

Philadelphia Eagles · 24.0 market-implied pts
Joe Milton III (QB) — 244 pass yds · 42 rush yds
Saquon Barkley (RB) — 59 rush yds · 12 rec yds
DeVonta Smith (WR) — 66 rec yds · 5.9 rec
Dallas Cowboys · 25.5 market-implied pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 245 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 73 rush yds · 13 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 1 rush yds · 84 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Eagles @ Cowboys, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Eagles @ Cowboys matchup →

Retractable-roof stadium: the outdoor forecast applies only if the roof is open. Every game's conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule

Eagles 2026 schedule

Cowboys 2026 schedule