Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 12 2026

Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 3:30 PM CT · AT&T Stadium (retractable roof)

Game preview

The market makes Dallas Cowboys a 1.8-point favourite over Philadelphia Eagles, with the game total at 49.5.

Moneylines sit at +105 for Philadelphia Eagles and -125 for Dallas Cowboys, a devigged 53% win probability for Dallas Cowboys; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23.9 for Philadelphia Eagles and 25.6 for Dallas Cowboys.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Philadelphia Eagles — Jalen Hurts (QB) at 235 passing yards and 25 rushing yards, Saquon Barkley (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 16 receiving yards; Dallas Cowboys — Dak Prescott (QB) at 231 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Javonte Williams (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 3:30 PM CT, at AT&T Stadium, indoors.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Eagles at Cowboys — lines as of Sun, 9/13 · 12:16 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadDAL -1.75 (open -1.5)
Total49.5
Moneyline (PHI / DAL)+105 / -125
DAL implied win probability53%
Implied team totals (PHI — DAL)23.9 — 25.6

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Philadelphia Eagles · 24.0 proj pts
Jalen Hurts (QB) — 235 pass yds · 25 rush yds
Saquon Barkley (RB) — 56 rush yds · 16 rec yds
DeVonta Smith (WR) — 71 rec yds · 5.6 rec
Dallas Cowboys · 25.5 proj pts
Dak Prescott (QB) — 231 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Javonte Williams (RB) — 55 rush yds · 19 rec yds
CeeDee Lamb (WR) — 3 rush yds · 68 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 12 games

← Week 11 · Week 13 → · Full 2026 schedule