Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Ford Field (indoors)
The market makes Detroit Lions a 2.5-point favourite over Chicago Bears, with the game total at 52.5.
Moneylines sit at +120 for Chicago Bears and -142 for Detroit Lions, a devigged 56% win probability for Detroit Lions; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 25 for Chicago Bears and 27.5 for Detroit Lions.
The total has moved from 53.5 to 52.5.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 261 passing yards and 28 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 277 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 93 rushing yards and 35 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, November 26, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Ford Field, indoors.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -2.5 |
| Total | 52.5 (open 53.5) |
| Moneyline (CHI / DET) | +120 / -142 |
| DET implied win probability | 56% |
| Implied team totals (CHI — DET) | 25.0 — 27.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.