Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Bank of America Stadium

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How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Lions26market had 28.3
Final
Panthers32market had 23.8
SpreadDET -4.5
Total52
Moneyline-225 / +185
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Detroit Lions a 4.5-point favorite over Carolina Panthers, with the game total at 52.

Moneylines sit at -225 for Detroit Lions and +185 for Carolina Panthers, a devigged 34% win probability for Carolina Panthers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 28.3 for Detroit Lions and 23.8 for Carolina Panthers.

The spread has moved from DET -3 to DET -4.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 49 to 52.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 274 passing yards and 5 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 102 rushing yards and 32 receiving yards; Carolina Panthers — Bryce Young (QB) at 259 passing yards and 12 rushing yards, Chuba Hubbard (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET, at Bank of America Stadium.

Final: Carolina Panthers won 32-26; Carolina Panthers covered the spread (DET -4.5) and the game went over the 52 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

DET 26 — CAR 32

Carolina Panthers covered the spread (DET -4.5) and the game went over the 52 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Lions at Panthers — lines as of Sun, 10/4 · 8:20 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadDET -4.5 (open DET -3)
Total52 (open 49)
Moneyline (DET / CAR)-225 / +185
CAR implied win probability34%
Implied team totals (DET — CAR)28.3 — 23.8

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Lions and Panthers this season

Games before Week 4. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Detroit Lions2-10-2-13-031.031.77
Carolina Panthers1-21-21-229.727.77

Lions' last 3 games: W 31-24 vs NYJ · L 31-41 @ BUF · W 31-30 vs NO.

Panthers' last 3 games: L 18-21 @ CLE · W 34-3 @ ATL · L 37-59 vs CHI.

Pre-game injury report

Detroit Lions

Inactive: Tyler Conklin (TE), Ahmed Hassanein (DE), Ben Bartch (G), Bishop Fitzgerald (S), Devin White (LB), Mekhi Wingo (DT).

Carolina Panthers

Inactive: Haynes King (QB), Jalen Coker (WR), Ja'Tavion Sanders (TE), Albert Reese IV (T), Damien Lewis (G).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/4 · 7:20 PM ET.

Player projections

Detroit Lions · 28.3 market-implied pts
Jared Goff (QB) — 274 pass yds · 5 rush yds
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) — 102 rush yds · 32 rec yds
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) — 86 rec yds · 7.1 rec
Carolina Panthers · 23.8 market-implied pts
Bryce Young (QB) — 259 pass yds · 12 rush yds
Chuba Hubbard (RB) — 63 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Tetairoa McMillan (WR) — 81 rec yds · 5.3 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Lions @ Panthers, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Lions @ Panthers matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule

Lions 2026 schedule

Panthers 2026 schedule