Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Bank of America Stadium
The market makes Detroit Lions a 3-point favourite over Carolina Panthers, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at -150 for Detroit Lions and +127 for Carolina Panthers, a devigged 42% win probability for Carolina Panthers; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 26.3 for Detroit Lions and 23.3 for Carolina Panthers.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Detroit Lions — Jared Goff (QB) at 277 passing yards and 4 rushing yards, Jahmyr Gibbs (RB) at 102 rushing yards and 31 receiving yards; Carolina Panthers — Bryce Young (QB) at 249 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Chuba Hubbard (RB) at 63 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Bank of America Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | DET -3 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (DET / CAR) | -150 / +127 |
| CAR implied win probability | 42% |
| Implied team totals (DET — CAR) | 26.3 — 23.3 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.