Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 4 2026

Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Paycor Stadium

The full matchup dashboard

How this game played out, every angle on one screen.

Jaguars22market had 24.6
Final
Bengals17market had 27.1
SpreadCIN -2.5
Total51.75
Moneyline+123 / -145
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Cincinnati Bengals a 2.5-point favorite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 51.75.

Moneylines sit at +123 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -145 for Cincinnati Bengals, a devigged 57% win probability for Cincinnati Bengals; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 24.6 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 27.1 for Cincinnati Bengals.

The total has moved from 50.25 to 51.75.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 233 passing yards and 15 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards; Cincinnati Bengals — Joe Burrow (QB) at 245 passing yards and 10 rushing yards, Chase Brown (RB) at 62 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium.

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars won 22-17; Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread (CIN -2.5) and the game went under the 51.75 total.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

JAX 22 — CIN 17

Jacksonville Jaguars covered the spread (CIN -2.5) and the game went under the 51.75 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Jaguars at Bengals — lines as of Sun, 10/4 · 1:01 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCIN -2.5 (open CIN -2.75)
Total51.75 (open 50.25)
Moneyline (JAX / CIN)+123 / -145
CIN implied win probability57%
Implied team totals (JAX — CIN)24.6 — 27.1

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Jaguars and Bengals this season

Games before Week 4. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Jacksonville Jaguars2-12-11-227.312.07
Cincinnati Bengals2-12-12-126.721.07

Jaguars' last 3 games: W 35-6 vs NE · L 13-20 @ DEN · W 34-10 vs CLE.

Bengals' last 3 games: L 27-30 @ PIT · W 20-6 @ HOU · W 33-27 vs TB.

Pre-game injury report

Jacksonville Jaguars

Inactive: CJ Williams (WR), Christian Braswell (CB), Montaric Brown (CB).

Cincinnati Bengals

Inactive: Myles Hinton (T), Swayze Bozeman (LB).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 10/4 · 12:07 PM ET.

Player projections

Jacksonville Jaguars · 24.6 market-implied pts
Trevor Lawrence (QB) — 233 pass yds · 15 rush yds
Bhayshul Tuten (RB) — 62 rush yds · 12 rec yds
Parker Washington (WR) — 1 rush yds · 67 rec yds
Cincinnati Bengals · 27.1 market-implied pts
Joe Burrow (QB) — 245 pass yds · 10 rush yds
Chase Brown (RB) — 62 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Ja'Marr Chase (WR) — 72 rec yds · 6.1 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Jaguars @ Bengals, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Jaguars @ Bengals matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 4 games

← Week 3 · Week 5 → · Full 2026 schedule

Jaguars 2026 schedule

Bengals 2026 schedule