Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT · M&T Bank Stadium
The market makes Baltimore Ravens a 4.5-point favourite over Jacksonville Jaguars, with the game total at 49.5.
Moneylines sit at +170 for Jacksonville Jaguars and -205 for Baltimore Ravens, a devigged 64% win probability for Baltimore Ravens; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Jacksonville Jaguars and 27 for Baltimore Ravens.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Jacksonville Jaguars — Trevor Lawrence (QB) at 204 passing yards and 14 rushing yards, Bhayshul Tuten (RB) at 54 rushing yards and 9 receiving yards; Baltimore Ravens — Lamar Jackson (QB) at 229 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, Derrick Henry (RB) at 88 rushing yards and 12 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 7:15 PM CT, at M&T Bank Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BAL -4.5 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Moneyline (JAX / BAL) | +170 / -205 |
| BAL implied win probability | 64% |
| Implied team totals (JAX — BAL) | 22.5 — 27.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.