Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Soldier Field
The market makes Chicago Bears a 3.5-point favourite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 48.5.
Moneylines sit at +164 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and -198 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 64% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 22.5 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 26 for Chicago Bears.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 228 passing yards and 20 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 56 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 234 passing yards and 27 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 59 rushing yards and 20 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Soldier Field.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | CHI -3.5 |
| Total | 48.5 |
| Moneyline (TB / CHI) | +164 / -198 |
| CHI implied win probability | 64% |
| Implied team totals (TB — CHI) | 22.5 — 26.0 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.