Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears — Final Score & Result, NFL Week 9 2026

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET · Soldier Field

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Buccaneers24market had 20.5
Final
Bears27market had 27.0
SpreadCHI -6.5
Total47.5
Moneyline+234 / -281
  • The market-implied score next to the spread and total
  • Player projections against their prop lines, with the best price
  • What decides it: each passing matchup, protection and pace
  • Who is out and how much they play, and the best price on every side
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Game preview

The market makes Chicago Bears a 6.5-point favorite over Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the game total at 47.5.

Moneylines sit at +234 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and -281 for Chicago Bears, a devigged 71% win probability for Chicago Bears; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 20.5 for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 27 for Chicago Bears.

The spread has moved from CHI -6 to CHI -6.5 since it opened and the total has moved from 47 to 47.5.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine had projected Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Baker Mayfield (QB) at 195 passing yards and 17 rushing yards, Bucky Irving (RB) at 76 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards; Chicago Bears — Caleb Williams (QB) at 240 passing yards and 24 rushing yards, D'Andre Swift (RB) at 57 rushing yards and 23 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET, at Soldier Field.

Final: Chicago Bears won 27-24; Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered the spread (CHI -6.5) and the game went over the 47.5 total.

From the blog: NFL Week 9 preview: every line, every matchup and where I'm leaning.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Final

TB 24 — CHI 27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered the spread (CHI -6.5) and the game went over the 47.5 total.

Consensus market (closing lines)

Consensus market for Buccaneers at Bears — lines as of Sun, 11/8 · 8:21 PM ET
MarketConsensus
SpreadCHI -6.5 (open CHI -6)
Total47.5 (open 47)
Moneyline (TB / CHI)+234 / -281
CHI implied win probability71%
Implied team totals (TB — CHI)20.5 — 27.0

Devigged cross-book consensus. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Buccaneers and Bears this season

Games before Week 9. Against the spread and over/under are graded against the consensus line.
TeamRecordAgainst the spreadOver/underPoints forPoints againstDays of rest
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3-53-54-422.318.97
Chicago Bears6-26-24-426.820.06

Buccaneers' last 3 games: W 16-0 vs ATL · W 43-13 @ CAR · L 19-26 vs PIT.

Bears' last 3 games: W 34-17 @ SEA · W 30-24 vs NE · W 31-23 @ ATL.

Pre-game injury report

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Inactive: Ayden Garnes (CB), Billy Schrauth (G), DeMonte Capehart (DT), Trevor Keegan (G), Yaya Diaby (LB).

Chicago Bears

Inactive: Kyle Monangai (RB), Jayden Loving (DT), Keyshaun Elliott (LB), Malik Muhammad II (CB).

Gameday inactives as of Sun, 11/8 · 7:22 PM ET.

Player projections

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 20.5 market-implied pts
Baker Mayfield (QB) — 195 pass yds · 17 rush yds
Bucky Irving (RB) — 76 rush yds · 15 rec yds
Emeka Egbuka (WR) — 1 rush yds · 61 rec yds
Chicago Bears · 27.0 market-implied pts
Caleb Williams (QB) — 240 pass yds · 24 rush yds
D'Andre Swift (RB) — 57 rush yds · 23 rec yds
Luther Burden III (WR) — 3 rush yds · 53 rec yds

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

What decides Buccaneers @ Bears, who is out and how much they play, the best price on every side, and every book's number.

Open the Buccaneers @ Bears matchup →

Kickoff weather and conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 9 games

← Week 8 · Week 10 → · Full 2026 schedule

Buccaneers 2026 schedule

Bears 2026 schedule