Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Northwest Stadium
The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 5.5-point favourite over Washington Commanders, with the game total at 50.5.
Moneylines sit at -225 for Los Angeles Rams and +185 for Washington Commanders, a devigged 34% win probability for Washington Commanders; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 28 for Los Angeles Rams and 22.5 for Washington Commanders.
The spread has moved from 4.5 to 5.5 since it opened.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 230 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Puka Nacua (WR) at 2 rushing yards and 87 receiving yards; Washington Commanders — Jayden Daniels (QB) at 221 passing yards and 37 rushing yards, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB) at 55 rushing yards and 7 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Northwest Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | LA -5.5 (open +4.5) |
| Total | 50.5 |
| Moneyline (LA / WAS) | -225 / +185 |
| WAS implied win probability | 34% |
| Implied team totals (LA — WAS) | 28.0 — 22.5 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.