Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos — Prediction & Odds, NFL Week 3 2026

Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT · Empower Field at Mile High

Game preview

The market makes Los Angeles Rams a 2-point favourite over Denver Broncos, with the game total at 44.

Moneylines sit at -130 for Los Angeles Rams and +110 for Denver Broncos, a devigged 46% win probability for Denver Broncos; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 23 for Los Angeles Rams and 21 for Denver Broncos.

The spread has moved from 2.5 to 2 since it opened and the total has moved from 45.5 to 44.

The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Rams — Matthew Stafford (QB) at 200 passing yards and 2 rushing yards, Kyren Williams (RB) at 52 rushing yards and 18 receiving yards; Denver Broncos — Bo Nix (QB) at 200 passing yards and 16 rushing yards, J.K. Dobbins (RB) at 52 rushing yards and 8 receiving yards.

Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 7:20 PM CT, at Empower Field at Mile High.

New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.

Consensus market (intraday)

Consensus market for Rams at Broncos — lines as of Sat, 9/26 · 2:55 PM CT
MarketConsensus
SpreadLA -2 (open +2.5)
Total44 (open 45.5)
Moneyline (LA / DEN)-130 / +110
DEN implied win probability46%
Implied team totals (LA — DEN)23.0 — 21.0

Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.

Player projections

Los Angeles Rams · 23.0 proj pts
Matthew Stafford (QB) — 200 pass yds · 2 rush yds
Kyren Williams (RB) — 52 rush yds · 18 rec yds
Davante Adams (WR) — 1 rush yds · 63 rec yds
Denver Broncos · 21.0 proj pts
Bo Nix (QB) — 200 pass yds · 16 rush yds
J.K. Dobbins (RB) — 52 rush yds · 8 rec yds
Jaylen Waddle (WR) — 51 rec yds · 3.9 rec

Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.

Go deeper

The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.

More Week 3 games

← Week 2 · Week 4 → · Full 2026 schedule