Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Highmark Stadium
The market makes Buffalo Bills a 7.3-point favourite over Los Angeles Chargers, with the game total at 50.
Moneylines sit at +275 for Los Angeles Chargers and -355 for Buffalo Bills, a devigged 75% win probability for Buffalo Bills; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 21.4 for Los Angeles Chargers and 28.6 for Buffalo Bills.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects Los Angeles Chargers — Justin Herbert (QB) at 206 passing yards and 21 rushing yards, Omarion Hampton (RB) at 69 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards; Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 240 passing yards and 32 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 90 rushing yards and 17 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT, at Highmark Stadium, Buffalo Bills take the extra rest, 10 days to 7.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -7.25 (open -7) |
| Total | 50 |
| Moneyline (LAC / BUF) | +275 / -355 |
| BUF implied win probability | 75% |
| Implied team totals (LAC — BUF) | 21.4 — 28.6 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.