Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT · Highmark Stadium
The market makes Buffalo Bills a 10-point favourite over New York Jets, with the game total at 43.5.
Moneylines sit at +360 for New York Jets and -470 for Buffalo Bills, a devigged 79% win probability for Buffalo Bills; splitting the spread and total leaves market-implied team totals of 16.8 for New York Jets and 26.8 for Buffalo Bills.
The Sport Stack's nflsim engine projects New York Jets — Geno Smith (QB) at 199 passing yards and 11 rushing yards, Breece Hall (RB) at 66 rushing yards and 22 receiving yards; Buffalo Bills — Josh Allen (QB) at 231 passing yards and 31 rushing yards, James Cook (RB) at 68 rushing yards and 19 receiving yards.
Kickoff is Sunday, January 10, 2027 · 12:00 PM CT, at Highmark Stadium.
New to these numbers? How devigging turns a price into a probability, how sportsbooks set these lines, what expected value means, and why to shop the number.
| Market | Consensus |
|---|---|
| Spread | BUF -10 |
| Total | 43.5 |
| Moneyline (NYJ / BUF) | +360 / -470 |
| BUF implied win probability | 79% |
| Implied team totals (NYJ — BUF) | 16.8 — 26.8 |
Devigged cross-book consensus, updated as lines move. See the power ratings for the model's implied line on any matchup.
Research context, not a pick — every staked play is graded on the public ledger. How we grade.
The interactive matchup dashboard adds usage cores, opponent-defense-vs-position strips, offense identity, and the multi-book open→close board for this game. Forecast conditions are on the NFL slate.